Rainy week Summary

The region gradually comes under the influence of a weakening upper level cutoff low during the day on Wednesday as a blocking high retreats to our north and east.

A broad area of unsettled weather at the surface, associated with this upper level disturbance is expected to affect our region during the second half of the week. It should linger with us into the weekend when a cold front approaches the area on Sunday.

Forecast: Expect scattered rain showers to be possible each day starting tomorrow. A heavier round of rain is looking more likely on Sunday as a developing surface low moves east across southern new england. We see a return to dry conditions by the beginning of next week, and with a new round of cold air moving in – a frost potential across the interior is possible on monday.

Dry Pattern shows some sign of relief

It has been so dry in the region during the last month. The good news is that we may finally get some rain soon. Watching the progress of an upper level low in the southeast with some rain showers around for the middle of the week. Central park only had 4 cloudy days all of April, we need rain… oh by the way, Still some signs of a frost potential in the long range too away from the water!

Spring Weather In Sight

Summary: A stubborn blocking pattern has held our spring temperatures down for much of the season so far. That looks to be reversing itself over the next couple of weeks, which means the weather more comfortable and around where we should be for this time of year. 

Storm Recovery Forecast Update

A warm front approaches the area tomorrow – we will see a light precipitation event Monday starting off as snow or a mix, quickly changing over to rain for the tri-state area. This is going to be a LIGHT event but still a headache given what we just experienced this weekend. The remainder of the week looks near or below normal temperature wise. Two low pressure systems to watch – one on Thursday and one on Saturday, neither of which look significant at this time, but still have to be watched.

Here’s the Forecast for the Workweek:

Blizzard to Impact the Region Friday Afternoon and Saturday

Here’s a snapshot from the national weather service of what to expect. I’ll have a full update tonight at 11pm!

Have a Great Day!
-Ryan

Dry Weekend, A bit of Snow and Ice, Followed by a Warmup

The cold will finally begin to release it’s grip on the region this weekend. Across the state we had a light snow event move on through last night that left most with a general dusting of new snow. The place to be was the south shore of long island, where some more moderate snow bands set up anywhere from the Rockaways to Long Beach out to the Hamptons and the South Fork. These places picked up 1.5″ totals and even some higher amounts!

With the blazing sunshine and dry conditions this weekend, we’ll look for temperatures to gradually moderate. Tomorrow may even yield some above freezing temperatures for New York City and coastal locations for the first time in six days! A warm front approaches the area late Monday afternoon and that’s when we could contend with our next round of precipitation. Here’s a snapshot of that on the 6z GFS:

We’ve seen this before – that trough digging in the west and ridging starting to show on in the east. A brief round of snow is possible changing over to ice and rain depending on how long the precipitation lasts. That low in the Rockies will then intensify and track northeast up into the central US/western Great Lakes. It will work to really pump up that ridge in the east on Tuesday. Get ready for a spell of very warm weather – especially Wednesday. Temperatures could make it well into the 50′s for some areas. Even that won’t last – it looks like some cold will follow for the beginning of February! Let’s save that for the next blog topic though. Here’s the Five Day – Have a Great Afternoon!

Some Snow, Bitter Cold Retreats; Above Normal Warmth By Next Week.

This is the scene I woke up to this morning and I’m sure many of you did as well. Temperatures in this cold snap bottomed out at the coldest they will be for the winter in much of Long Island and Connecticut.

For Southern New England, this is the kind of winter cold that is actually quite common at this juncture of the season. For the most part, these low temperatures were not record breaking, in some cases not even close. We usually make a run at zero at least once or twice during a typical winter. If you like the cold, enjoy it because it won’t last much longer! If you hate the cold, some relief is in sight!

We still have a few days until the cold finally gets out of here. Another bitterly cold night is on the way. Widespread below zero temperatures are possible tonight in Connecticut, especially in areas where we can get the boundary layer to decouple to allow those winds that have picked up during the day today to calm down. An area of low pressure approaches from the west tomorrow. With no blocking and a large core of dry arctic air in place we are not expecting a storm. The energy transfer off the coast will result in a weak low passing well to our south. It could throw enough moisture back into the region for a light snowfall event to occur late Friday night. Although there won’t be a much moisture to work with, the arctic air in place aloft will favor higher snowfall ratios not unlike what we saw earlier this week. It’s still not out of the question that someone picks up a fluffy coating to 2 inches from this disturbance.

Warm air surges north next week as a cyclone develops and tracks northeastward over the central US around Tuesday next week. A warm front which could bring some overrunning precipitation due to isentropic lift along the front should come through sometime during the day on Tuesday. High Temperatures could return close to 50 by Wednesday! At least a short reprieve from subfreezing temperatures looks likely for some of you folks less enthralled with the concept of a New England Winter. Enjoy the rest of your cold day!